DONALD TRUMP AGAINST KAMALA HARRIS -
By Bernard Bujold -
The strategies are clear and precise for the November 5, 2024 vote!
Donald Trump's Republicans want to keep Joe Biden's image alive in the campaign and highlight his direct influence on Vice President Kamala Harris. The Democrats have the opposite strategy: to make people forget Biden's existence altogether...
Joe Biden won in 2020 because Covid had turned everything upside down and people feared chaos. They thought Biden would end the polarization, but he made it worse.
A specific feature of the 2024 campaign is that the momentum of the two political parties varies from week to week. In contrast, in the past, you could establish momentum that lasted an average of six months.
Kamala Harris reminds me of Hillary Clinton in 2016. Hillary had a high profile following her political career with Barack Obama, and she was wearing the name of a former president, Bill Clinton. Even with these two advantages, she failed because of the glass ceiling concerning women, but above all by focusing on the popular vote, contrary to her husband Bill's advice to target the key states...
In my opinion, Donald will replay 2016 by targeting key states rather than the popular vote, and in the end, the winner of the vote will not be decided on the character of Trump or Harris, but rather on the best effort to get the vote out in key states.
To be continued!
By Bernard Bujold -
The strategies are clear and precise for the November 5, 2024 vote!
Donald Trump's Republicans want to keep Joe Biden's image alive in the campaign and highlight his direct influence on Vice President Kamala Harris. The Democrats have the opposite strategy: to make people forget Biden's existence altogether...
Joe Biden won in 2020 because Covid had turned everything upside down and people feared chaos. They thought Biden would end the polarization, but he made it worse.
A specific feature of the 2024 campaign is that the momentum of the two political parties varies from week to week. In contrast, in the past, you could establish momentum that lasted an average of six months.
Kamala Harris reminds me of Hillary Clinton in 2016. Hillary had a high profile following her political career with Barack Obama, and she was wearing the name of a former president, Bill Clinton. Even with these two advantages, she failed because of the glass ceiling concerning women, but above all by focusing on the popular vote, contrary to her husband Bill's advice to target the key states...
In my opinion, Donald will replay 2016 by targeting key states rather than the popular vote, and in the end, the winner of the vote will not be decided on the character of Trump or Harris, but rather on the best effort to get the vote out in key states.
To be continued!
SEE ANALYSIS THE NEW YORK TIMES
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